2,763 research outputs found
Locality and information transfer in quantum operations
We investigate the situation in which no information can be transferred from
a quantum system B to a quantum system A, even though both interact with a
common system C
Reconsidering the role of monetary indicators for euro area inflation from a Bayesian perspective using group inclusion probabilities
This paper addresses the relative importance of monetary indicators for forecasting inflation in the euro area in a Bayesian framework. Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA)based on predictive likelihoods provides a framework that allows for the estimation of inclusion probabilities of a particular variable, that is the probability of that variable being in the forecast model. A novel aspect of the paper is the discussion of group-wise inclusion probabilities, which helps to address the empirical question whether the group of monetary variables is relevant for forecasting euro area inflation. In our application, we consider about thirty monetary and non-monetary indicators for inflation. Using this data, BMA provides inclusion probabilities and weights for Bayesian forecast combination. The empirical results for euro area data show that monetary aggregates and non-monetary indicators together play an important role for forecasting inflation, whereas the isolated information content of both groups is limited. Forecast combination can only partly outperform single-indicator benchmark models. --inflation forecasting,monetary indicators,Bayesian Model Averaging,inclusion probability
Bottom-quark associated Higgs-boson production: reconciling the four- and five-flavour scheme approach
The main arguments in the discussion of the proper treatment of the total
inclusive cross section for bottom-quark associated Higgs-boson production are
briefly reviewed. A simple and pragmatic formula for the combination of the
so-called four- and five-flavour schemes is suggested, including the treatment
of the respective theory error estimates. The numerical effects of this
matching formula are discussed.Comment: 8 pages, 4 figure
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